Ye — BULLY: 30K+ copies ➜ 46.0% My Chemical Romance ➜ 4.0% Romania ➜ 4.0% EsDeeKid ➜ 76.0% JAY-Z ➜ 16.0% U2 ➜ 20.0% Ye — BULLY: 200K+ copies ➜ 12.0% Jason Aldean — Songs About Us: 30K+ copies ➜ 10.0% SWIM ➜ 9.0% Rihanna ➜ 51.0% Ye — BULLY: 30K+ copies ➜ 46.0% My Chemical Romance ➜ 4.0% Romania ➜ 4.0% EsDeeKid ➜ 76.0% JAY-Z ➜ 16.0% U2 ➜ 20.0% Ye — BULLY: 200K+ copies ➜ 12.0% Jason Aldean — Songs About Us: 30K+ copies ➜ 10.0% SWIM ➜ 9.0% Rihanna ➜ 51.0%
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PREDICT THE MUSICBEAT THE MARKET

Real-time odds on album drops, chart positions, tours, and awards across Kalshi and Polymarket.

369
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Browse Markets 369 LIVE
All 369
Album Drops 93
Chart Predictions 11
Tours & Live 139
Awards Season 34
Culture & Collabs 20
Album Drops 93 markets
Album Sales Kalshi
Yeat — 2093: 30K+ copies
96.0%
YES 96.0¢ / NO 4.0¢
2,186 traded
Closes 2026-04-03 Edge: 69.0
♫ Spotify
Album Sales Kalshi
Yeat — 2093: 35K+ copies
95.0%
YES 95.0¢ / NO 5.0¢
1,451 traded
Closes 2026-04-03 Edge: 68.0
♫ Spotify
Album Sales Kalshi
Yeat — 2093: 60K+ copies
3.0%
YES 3.0¢ / NO 97.0¢
5,497 traded
Closes 2026-04-03 Edge: 66.0
♫ Spotify
Album Sales Kalshi
Yeat — 2093: 65K+ copies
3.0%
YES 3.0¢ / NO 97.0¢
4,108 traded
Closes 2026-04-03 Edge: 66.0
♫ Spotify
Album Sales Kalshi
Slayyyter — WOR$T GIRL: 5K+ copies
96.0%
YES 96.0¢ / NO 4.0¢
3,831 traded
Closes 2026-04-03 Edge: 65.0
♫ Spotify
Album Sales Kalshi
Melanie Martinez — PORTALS: 45K+ copies
97.0%
YES 97.0¢ / NO 3.0¢
233 traded
Closes 2026-04-03 Edge: 65.0
♫ Spotify
+ 87 more markets in Album Drops
Chart Predictions 11 markets
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Kalshi
Elizabeth Taylor
2.0%
YES 2.0¢ / NO 98.0¢
130 traded
Closes 2026-04-06 Edge: 66.0
♫ Spotify
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Kalshi
SWIM
9.0%
YES 9.0¢ / NO 91.0¢
36,908 traded
Closes 2026-04-06 Edge: 66.0
♫ Spotify
Billboard Hot 100 #1 Kalshi
Choosin' Texas
91.0%
YES 91.0¢ / NO 9.0¢
18,466 traded
Closes 2026-04-06 Edge: 62.0
♫ Spotify
Streaming Record SOTY Kalshi
Clavicular
5.0%
YES 5.0¢ / NO 95.0¢
1,424 traded
Closes 2027-12-31 Edge: 46.0
♫ Spotify
Streaming Record SOTY Kalshi
Tie
3.0%
YES 3.0¢ / NO 97.0¢
345 traded
Closes 2027-12-31 Edge: 45.0
♫ Spotify
Streaming Record SOTY Kalshi
ExtraEmily
2.0%
YES 2.0¢ / NO 98.0¢
174 traded
Closes 2027-12-31 Edge: 44.0
♫ Spotify
+ 5 more markets in Chart Predictions
Tours & Live 139 markets
Tour Announcements Kalshi
Doja Cat
91.0%
YES 91.0¢ / NO 9.0¢
2,706 traded
Closes 2027-01-01 Edge: 45.0
♫ Spotify
Lollapalooza Performer Kalshi
Tame Impala
3.0%
YES 3.0¢ / NO 97.0¢
127,062 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 44.0
♫ Spotify
Tour Announcements Kalshi
KATSEYE
92.0%
YES 92.0¢ / NO 8.0¢
348 traded
Closes 2027-01-01 Edge: 42.0
♫ Spotify
Tour Announcements Kalshi
Justin Bieber
86.0%
YES 86.0¢ / NO 14.0¢
2,487 traded
Closes 2027-01-01 Edge: 42.0
♫ Spotify
Tour Announcements Kalshi
sombr
90.0%
YES 90.0¢ / NO 10.0¢
519 traded
Closes 2027-01-01 Edge: 42.0
♫ Spotify
Lollapalooza Performer Kalshi
My Chemical Romance
4.0%
YES 4.0¢ / NO 96.0¢
31,870 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 42.0
♫ Spotify
+ 133 more markets in Tours & Live
Awards Season 34 markets
Eurovision Kalshi
Serbia
2.0%
YES 2.0¢ / NO 98.0¢
37,802 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 45.0
♫ Spotify
Eurovision Kalshi
Lithuania
2.0%
YES 2.0¢ / NO 98.0¢
28,461 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 44.0
♫ Spotify
Eurovision Kalshi
Bulgaria
2.0%
YES 2.0¢ / NO 98.0¢
20,422 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 44.0
♫ Spotify
Eurovision Kalshi
Italy
3.0%
YES 3.0¢ / NO 97.0¢
24,968 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 44.0
♫ Spotify
Eurovision Kalshi
Romania
4.0%
YES 4.0¢ / NO 96.0¢
29,702 traded
Closes 2026-12-31 Edge: 43.0
♫ Spotify
Grammy - Album of Year Kalshi
The Life of a Showgirl
95.0%
YES 95.0¢ / NO 5.0¢
353 traded
Closes 2027-11-01 Edge: 43.0
♫ Spotify
+ 28 more markets in Awards Season
Culture & Collabs 20 markets
James Bond Theme Kalshi
Lorde
8.0%
YES 8.0¢ / NO 92.0¢
613 traded
Closes 2035-01-01 Edge: 39.0
♫ Spotify
James Bond Theme Kalshi
Sam Fender
9.0%
YES 9.0¢ / NO 91.0¢
524 traded
Closes 2035-01-01 Edge: 38.0
♫ Spotify
James Bond Theme Kalshi
Beyonce
6.0%
YES 6.0¢ / NO 94.0¢
133 traded
Closes 2035-01-01 Edge: 38.0
♫ Spotify
James Bond Theme Kalshi
Lewis Capaldi
5.0%
YES 5.0¢ / NO 95.0¢
48 traded
Closes 2035-01-01 Edge: 37.0
♫ Spotify
James Bond Theme Kalshi
Lana Del Rey
26.0%
YES 26.0¢ / NO 74.0¢
3,230 traded
Closes 2035-01-01 Edge: 32.0
♫ Spotify
James Bond Theme Kalshi
Olivia Dean
44.0%
YES 44.0¢ / NO 56.0¢
3,987 traded
Closes 2035-01-01
♫ Spotify
+ 14 more markets in Culture & Collabs
Ye — BULLY: 30K+ copies
Hottest market · 46.0% odds · 56,019 traded
♫ Spotify
Album Drops FIRST WEEK SALES

BULLY

Kalshi
Kanye West / Ye
Closes 2027-01-01 · 375,463 total volume
20,000+ copies
93%
11,444 vol
25,000+ copies
88%
532 vol
30,000+ copies
46%
56,019 vol
40,000+ copies
44%
40,361 vol
50,000+ copies
39%
84,101 vol
60,000+ copies
27%
43,021 vol
70,000+ copies
24%
34,052 vol
80,000+ copies
10%
48,874 vol
90,000+ copies
10%
44,683 vol
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▶
Kanye West / Ye
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2093 (Lyfestyle)

Kalshi
Yeat
Closes 2026-04-03 · 56,898 total volume
30,000+ copies
96%
2,186 vol
35,000+ copies
95%
1,451 vol
40,000+ copies
78%
9,197 vol
45,000+ copies
52%
5,283 vol
50,000+ copies
13%
5,605 vol
55,000+ copies
7%
5,833 vol
60,000+ copies
3%
5,497 vol
65,000+ copies
3%
4,108 vol
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Yeat
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BULLY (Actual Sales)

Kalshi
Kanye West / Ye
Closes 2026-04-30 · 21,663 total volume
100,000+ copies
94%
65 vol
125,000+ copies
69%
98 vol
150,000+ copies
82%
4,579 vol
175,000+ copies
55%
4,794 vol
200,000+ copies
12%
6,219 vol
225,000+ copies
29%
4,452 vol
250,000+ copies
4%
571 vol
275,000+ copies
4%
385 vol
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▶
Kanye West / Ye
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WOR$T GIRL IN AMERICA

Kalshi
Slayyyter
Closes 2026-04-03 · 18,745 total volume
5,000+ copies
96%
3,831 vol
10,000+ copies
93%
6,254 vol
15,000+ copies
89%
4,711 vol
20,000+ copies
18%
1,531 vol
25,000+ copies
6%
1,809 vol
30,000+ copies
12%
544 vol
35,000+ copies
8%
25 vol
40,000+ copies
9%
40 vol
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Slayyyter
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Whatever's Clever!

Kalshi
Charlie Puth
Closes 2026-04-03 · 11,846 total volume
5,000+ copies
95%
0 vol
10,000+ copies
95%
3,364 vol
15,000+ copies
49%
130 vol
20,000+ copies
18%
971 vol
25,000+ copies
16%
350 vol
30,000+ copies
7%
1,175 vol
35,000+ copies
9%
3,014 vol
40,000+ copies
3%
1,968 vol
45,000+ copies
6%
110 vol
50,000+ copies
3%
20 vol
55,000+ copies
5%
20 vol
60,000+ copies
10%
0 vol
65,000+ copies
5%
0 vol
70,000+ copies
9%
108 vol
75,000+ copies
7%
108 vol
80,000+ copies
7%
130 vol
85,000+ copies
6%
67 vol
90,000+ copies
7%
114 vol
95,000+ copies
6%
88 vol
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Charlie Puth
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THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.

Kalshi
RAYE
Closes 2026-04-03 · 8,152 total volume
10,000+ copies
92%
1,747 vol
15,000+ copies
65%
908 vol
20,000+ copies
15%
1,069 vol
25,000+ copies
10%
1,091 vol
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RAYE
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PORTALS

Kalshi
Melanie Martinez
Closes 2026-04-03 · 8,094 total volume
45,000+ copies
97%
233 vol
55,000+ copies
94%
134 vol
60,000+ copies
71%
48 vol
65,000+ copies
24%
30 vol
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Melanie Martinez
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Songs About Us

Kalshi
Jason Aldean
Closes 2026-05-01 · 8,051 total volume
10,000+ copies
80%
0 vol
15,000+ copies
66%
0 vol
20,000+ copies
40%
0 vol
25,000+ copies
29%
0 vol
30,000+ copies
10%
5,856 vol
60,000+ copies
7%
1,636 vol
90,000+ copies
4%
348 vol
120,000+ copies
5%
5 vol
150,000+ copies
5%
10 vol
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▶
Jason Aldean
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Top Picks EDGE
STRONG BUY NO high
Yeat — 2093: 20K+ copies
Yeat — 2093: 20K+ copies at 100% for 20,000+ copies. Yeat averaged 60,000 historically but market is too confident. The 0¢ NO could pay $1 if they underperform.
100.0%
Edge: 70.0/100
BUY YES medium
Elizabeth Taylor
Elizabeth Taylor at 2% -- chart momentum and streaming velocity suggest the market is sleeping on this. BUY YES.
2.0%
Edge: 66.0/100
STRONG BUY NO high
Melanie Martinez — PORTALS: 35K+ copies
Melanie Martinez — PORTALS: 35K+ copies at 100% for 35,000+ copies. Melanie Martinez averaged 80,000 historically but market is too confident. The 0¢ NO could pay $1 if they underperform.
100.0%
Edge: 65.0/100
STRONG BUY NO high
Slayyyter — WOR$T GIRL: 5K+ copies
Slayyyter — WOR$T GIRL: 5K+ copies at 96%. High conviction but 4¢ NO pays $1 on any underperformance.
96.0%
Edge: 65.0/100
STRONG BUY YES high
RAYE — THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.: 35K+ copies
RAYE — THIS MUSIC MAY CONTAIN HOPE.: 35K+ copies at 1% -- 35,000 copies threshold is close to RAYE's average (25,000). Underpriced given recent momentum. BUY YES.
1.0%
Edge: 65.0/100
STRONG BUY YES high
Charlie Puth — Whatever's Clever!: 40K+ copies
Charlie Puth — Whatever's Clever!: 40K+ copies -- market says 3% chance of 40,000+ copies. Charlie Puth's last album (Charlie) did 31,000 and they average 50,000+. BUY YES.
3.0%
Edge: 64.0/100
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Artists In Play 8 ACTIVE
K

Kanye West

294 markets · 1,140,594.0 vol
Spotify IG View Markets
P

Playboi Carti

2 markets · 717,807.5247749947 vol
Spotify X IG View Markets
R

Rihanna

2 markets · 683,293.4978940032 vol
Spotify X IG View Markets
Y

Yeat

9 markets · 39,649.0 vol
A

Ariana Grande

5 markets · 21,346.0 vol
S

Sabrina Carpenter

1 markets · 20,859.0 vol
S

Slayyyter

8 markets · 18,745.0 vol
C

Charlie Puth

21 markets · 11,846.0 vol
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5 More Artists
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